BCREA - economic update. Predicts 2.1% growth of Canadian economy in 2012.

The BCREA statitistics show that the economy expanded in April and May 2012 albeit modestly while the sales numbers of Vancouver condos and Vancouver houses dropped sharply in May. The statistics for July will be an indication/confirmation of the effect of media reports of economic problems in other parts of the world on buyer confidence in real estate.
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BCREA ECONOMICS NOW

Canadian Monthly GDP - July 31, 2012

The Canadian economy expanded 0.1 per cent in May, after increasing 0.3 per cent in April. At the industry level, economic growth was driven by a 0.7 per cent increase in retail trade and a 0.5 per cent bounce in finance and insurance output. Real GDP growth was also given a boost by increased mining and oil and gas extraction. Lagging industries included manufacturing (down 0.5 per cent) and construction (down 0.2 per cent). The output of real estate agents and brokers fell 4.8 per cent at the national level following three consecutive months of increasing activity.

Canadian real GDP is on track to grow 1.5 to 2.0 per cent in the second quarter of the year, close to the 1.8 per cent forecast by the Bank of Canada and in line with BCREA's own forecast. The second half of the year holds a number of risks for the Canadian economy, including further Euro uncertainty and a slowdown in the US economy. We forecast that the Canadian economy will generate modest growth in 2012 of around 2.1 per cent.


For more information, please contact:

Cameron Muir                             Brendon Ogmundson
Chief Economist                          Economist
Direct: 604.742.2780                   Direct: 604.742.2796
Mobile: 778.229.1884                 Mobile: 604.505.6793
cmuir@bcrea.bc.ca                      bogmundson@bcrea.bc.ca

BCREA represents 11 member real estate boards and their approximately 18,000 REALTORS® on all provincial issues, providing an extensive communications network, standard forms, economic research and analysis, government relations, applied practice courses and continuing professional education (cpe).

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.
BCREA makes no guarantees as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.

Have the slower months come to an end?

Buyers have returned! Serious buyers - both local and international - are phoning in and emailing at greater frequency than a few weeks ago. Is this the beginning of the end of the few slower months? Both Vancouver condos and houses have been affected and activity seems to be resuming from the lower price ranges upwards.

"The Ericksen" - Yaletown condos bordering False Creek

Coal Harbour condos bordering the marina at Burrard Inlet

Bank of Canada - overnight rate remains unchanged. BCREA projects increase as of early 2013.

Today the BCREA - BC Real Estate Association - published a news release about the latest meeting of the Bank of Canada.  The most important points are
- overnight rate remains unchanged at 1%
- economic growth as projected by the Bank of Canada is 2.1% this year and 2.3% in 2013
- inflation will be close to 2%

The economists of the BCREA expect that the overnight rate is likely to be increased as of early 2013.

If an increase in interest rates would indeed take place starting early next year, now and the next few months may be the better time to buy the Vancouver condo or Vancouver house you were thinking of.

Renewed buyer activity in May 2012

The month of May brought sunshine and buyers are more seriously resuming their search for a new home! Buyer activity has increased in the more affordable price ranges in particular.
The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver reports for April 2012 a lower number of sales and more listings than 12 months ago as well as a twelve month increase in the benchmark price of 3.7 per cent. Complete report of the REBGV

The house above is located in West Vancouver and will be listed for sale next week. This partial picture is a little peek a boo pre-view.

New! SALT by Concert Properties at Hornby/Drake

SALT will be launched in June 2011 and is a 32 storey tower with over 194 homes ranging from 1 bedroom to 2 bedroom and den. Most condos will be from 475 to 925 sq ft while the SKY collection will be from 940 to 1,380 sq ft. Over 125 homes will be priced between $295,000 and $495,000. The higher floor condos will have great views. Finishes are advertized to be high end with laminate flooring throughout including bedrooms, and quality modern white kitchens with European appliances, quartz counter tops and tile backsplash. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Go to the "new condos" tab at http://www.vancouver-condos.net for a location map. Contact me if you are interested in * the condos in SALT or any other development or * want to receive information about the Vancouver real estate market.

MADDOX DOWNTOWN - New development by Cressey

Cressey has announced it will launch this spring a 32 storey building at the corner of Howe and Drake. MADDOX will be close to two other Cressey developments: ELAN @ 1255 Seymour (completion 2006) and DONOVAN @ 1055 Richards (completion 2008/2009) which both have luxurious finishes.

The MADDOX condos will range in size from 498 to 1,576 sq ft.

Are you interested in buying a condo in this development? Contact me and I will keep you informed of the progress and assist you in selecting the condo that meets your requirements best whether you are looking for a home for yourself or an investment property.

To view a map with the location of new and newer buildings go to http://www.vancouvercondos-net

Rental market is strong

The rental market for condos and detached homes is strong. The low supply on Craigslist is a great barometer and rental realtors confirm that there not sufficient supply. Great news for investors! See http://www.vancouver-condos.net if you are interested in investing in a condo and http://www.christinelouw.com to browse detached home listings.

Vancouver real estate market statistics for February 2011

The Real Estate Board just released their most recent statistical information which shows that
- listings, sales and demand have increased in the first two months of 2011 and
- that some areas and categories of real estate (notably detached homes in Richmond and Vancouver Westside) have seen considerably more activity than others.

In February 2011

• the number of sales increased by 70.3% compared to January 2011 and by 25.5% compared to February 2010.
• new listings increased by 23.6% compared to February 2010 and the total number of listings increased by 5%
• the 12 month increase of the benchmark price of detached homes was 6%, of condos was 2.2% and of townhomes was 2.3%.

Statistics are not the same for all areas. Contact me if you like to know what properties sold in the last 60 days in your immediate area. Your property may be worth more than you think!

If you like to browse yourself to see current asking prices visit my websites
www.vancouver-condos.net
www.coalharbourcondos.info
www.falsecreeknorthcondos.com
www.christinelouw.com for homes

Bank of Canada held its overnight rate

This morning the Bank of Canada held the overnight (interest) rate at 1 percent. The overnight rate has a substantial influence on mortgage interest rates. The statement released with the decision noted the improved outlook for the Canadian economy but also the escalating geopolitical risk and the challenge to export by the rising Can dollar. The Vancouver market is increasingly active in all price ranges. On 18 March the maximum amortization period for high ratio mortgages (mortgage for more than 80 percent of the purchase price/appraised value) will be reduced from 35 to 30 years. Buyers who remove subjects before 18 March have access to the 35 year amortization period. This change will mainly affect purchases in the lower price ranges and likely not to a significant degree. At the moment this segment of the market is very active with quick sales and multiple offers; remains to be seen if this activity is in anticipation of the 18 March change or just part of the general increase of demand. For mortgage rate information see "Resources" at http://www.vancouver-condos.net and "Statistics" at http://www.coalharbourcondos.info

KITS360 - new affordable development on Fairview/Kits border

Just announced. Previews to start in March. Location: 1777 W 7th, Fairview - close to Burrard and transit Developer: Intergulf Development Group Construction: concrete, outdoor space with units, stone counters, laminate flooring, stainless steel appliances. Views: False Creek, English Bay, Downtown, Northshore mountains Price: starting from $349,900 Please contact me at 604 926 3936 if you like to receive more information about these or any other properties. Information as provided by the developer's representative. http://www.vancouver-condos.net

Vancouver real estate market statistics for January 2011

According to the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver in January 2011 compared to January 2010

• the number of sales decreased by 5.4%


• new listings decreased by 6.7%


• the total number of listings increased by 2.2%


• the benchmark price of condos increased by 1.4%, of detached homes by 2.7% and of townhomes by 2.6% However both Richmond and Vancouver West saw a strong seller's market - the price of detached homes in Richmond increased by 22.6% and in Vancouver West by 12.2%.

The stronger market in Richmond and Vancouver West must be due to the obvious increase of Asian buyers in Vancouver who predominantly prefer and buy detached homes in these two areas. For the full statistical report of the GVREB visit http://www.vancouver-condos.net and go to market trends.

Important mortgage rule changes

Finance minister Jim Flaherty has made changes to the rules governing mortgage financing which will be effective from 18 March 2011 onwards: - the maximum amortization period for high ratio mortgages (in excess of 80% of the property value) has been reduced from 35 to 30 years - maximum loan to value (LTV) of refinances has been reduced from 90 to 85% - maximum financing on HELOC (line of credit products) reduced to 80% LTV There is still some time to buy your new property and complete by 17 March to take advantage of the present mortgage rules. www.christinelouw.com

Vancouver prices and number of sales keep increasing

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver reports that in March 10 compared to March 09
- the benchmark price of a residential properties is 20.3% higher and 2.8% above the previous high point of May 2008.
- the number of listings is 7.6% lower but 19% higher than in February 2010 (my comment: this was very much influenced by the Olympics)
- the number of sales was 38.5% higher but only 4.7% higher than in March 08 and 12.4% lower than in March 07.

Increased interest rates for fixed rate mortgages

TD, RBC and Laurentian bank have increased their rates for fixed rate mortgages by up to .8% and the other financial institutions will without a doubt follow. The increase of the bond yield is quoted as justification. The entry level market will be effected by this increase, higher priced homes will most likely continue to sell without change.
Variable rate mortgage rates are unchanged.

The unpredictability of the real estate market

Many Vancouver Realtors are on holiday in the expectation that sales will be slow during the Olympics. Others stayed in the hope that Olympic visitors will on the spur of the moment decide to buy a holiday home in the beautiful place they just got to know. Both expectations turned out to be incorrect.
Sales are fast and it is very easy to show properties in the downtown core as long as you do not get too close to BC Place. Translink has calculated that there is 30% less traffic on the city roads but it feels like more - driving is such a pleasure now.
So far I have not heard of any impulsive real estate purchase by an Olympic visitor but maybe that is still to come. Or maybe this will only happen in the months to come.
This is such a wonderful time: happy people everywhere, an excited holiday atmosphere with lots of free entertainment and galloping sales.

New price - great condo in The Ritz *********** 1211 Melville Street, Coal Harbour Vancouver. Now only CAD 489,000

NOW SOLD - 20 Febr 10

602-1211 Melville Street, Coal Harbour - large 680 sq ft condo with 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom and den. 9 ft ceilings, air conditioning, open balcony, parking, large storage. Only lived in for 6 months, completed 2008.
This is a fantastic condo and has several features that are unusual for a one bedroom plus den condo in this price range: high 9 ft ceilings, air conditioning and located on the SE corner of the building (corner positions are usually reserved for 2 and 3 bedroom condos). The condo has quality finishes and comes with parking and a huge storage locker. Add to this the great amenities in the building - concierge, gym, pool, sauna, steam room, social room, pool table room and large outside area - and the fantastic location in prestigious Coal Harbour - close to Robson Street, seawall, Urban Fare, other shops and restaurants - and you have a winning combination. Contact Christine Louw at 604 926 3936 to make an appointment to view this wonderful condo.

Coal Harbour condos, Vancouver condos

Are you visiting Vancouver for the Olympics and have you decided to join the many other international part-time residents who have a holiday home here already? Then consider the following great homes and phone (604 926 3936) or email (christinelouw@shaw.ca) me for a showing.
*** in Coal Harbour:
- The Ritz; 602-1211 Melville Street - 1 bedroom plus den, 680 sq ft. High ceilings, air conditioning, corner unit. CAD 495,000.
- Orca Place; 2605-1166 Melville Street - 1,014 sq ft 2 bed, 2 bath condo with high ceilings and air conditioning. CAD 639,000
- West Pender Place; 405-1477 W Pender Street - assignment, completion early 2011. 816 sq ft One bedroom and den with high ceilings and airconditioning. Live/work zoning, luxurious finishes. CAD 645,000.
- Two Harbour Green; 1139 W Cordova - 3,600sq ft high floor condo with 3 bedrooms, 4 bathrooms and the most fantastic NW view. The ultimate in luxury. CAD 6.6 mil.
*** and in Downtown Vancouver
- The Hudson; 626-610 Granville Street - 962 sq ft loft near Pacific Centre Shopping Mall and skytrain. So conveniently located! CAD 499,000.

Enjoy your stay in Vancouver and thank you for visiting us!

Vancouver real estate prices/values

The Real estate Board of Greater Vancouver reported on 2 December in their monthly publication that the MLSLink® Housing Price Index (HPI) benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver is now only 1.9 per cent lower than the most recent high point of May 2008.
And Sellers know it! It is harder to negotiate offers - Sellers are confident that prices will continue to increase and hold out for higher prices in negotiations or take their property off the market now with the intention of re-listing in the near future.
The downturn will cost property owners likely a little more than 1 1/2 years of value growth and has given others the opportunity to buy the real estate they could not afford before May 08.

Mortage interest rates

Mortgage rates continue to go down. Best rates I have seen this week: variable open mortgages at prime (2.25%) plus 0.6, variable closed mortgages at prime and 5 year fixed rate at 3.69%. When investigating what mortgage conditions institutions offer you also enquire after what acceleration of payments is permitted without penalty, ask about costs in case of early paying off of the mortgage and conversion costs in case of a variable mortgage. I personally discovered recently that there is a big difference in costs between banks.
Australia increased its prime rate by .25% this week and was the first country to do so since the economic downturn. The US dollar is depreciating against the Canadian dollar - it is reported that it may be necessay to increase the prime rate in Canada if this trend continues.
I am a Realtor, not a mortgage expert and the information above is just a personal observation. For expert advice contact a mortgage broker or consultant. Several mortgage experts are listed under "mortgage" on my website www.christinelouw.com.

Developers have renewed confidence in the Vancouver real estate market

Six new condo buildings have been launched recently or will be launched in the near future: V6A, District Southmain, Sage, Maynards, Social and The Mark. Several of the developments are in what in Vancouver is regarded as the more affordable price range.
V6A (at Union and Main), Social and The Mark are developments by Onni. The Mark at the corner of Seymour and Pacific is advertized by its developer as the highest building in Yaletown and many of the condos should have great views.
District Southmain is an Amacon development. Sales of both District Southmain and V6A condos started last week. Building 1 of District Southmain is already sold out and building 2 will be launched this weekend ahead of schedule.
Sales of condos in Maynards (by Aquilini) in SE False Creek (at 1st and Wylie) will start on 17 October.
Sage by Kenstone Properties is located in Wesbrook Place at UBC near the intersection of W16th and Wesbrook Mall - sales started on 3 October. The Wesbrook is located next to Sage and will be re-launched next week.
Please contact Christine Louw at 604 926 3936 or at christinelouw@shaw.ca if you like to receive information about new condos or townhomes. www.christinelouw.com or www.vancouver-condos.net